Krasnodar 4-0 Khimki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.78
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
2.82
6+ Goals
13%
7.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.67
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
18.9
X/1
20%
3.62
X/2
8%
14.65
X/X
6%
7.19
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.8
2/2
8%
11.0
2/X
6%
19.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.8 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-7.0pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.6pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Khimki EU Bookmakers 17%
-1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.97/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.02
-3% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -17%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
438 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
16.8 Crosses 13.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krasnodar
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Khimki
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.06 xG 0.84
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
382 Passes 341
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
37 Box Touches 20
8 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2024 Khimki Khimki 2-0 HT 1-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUSK
02.04.2023 Khimki Khimki 0-6 HT 0-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
27.11.2022 Krasnodar Krasnodar 4-1 HT 2-1 Khimki Khimki RUK
18.09.2022 Krasnodar Krasnodar 3-1 HT 2-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
31.08.2022 Khimki Khimki 0-2 HT 0-2 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUK
27.11.2021 Khimki Khimki 3-3 HT 0-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krasnodar
4-0
AWAY Khimki
1.94 xG 0.74
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 11
307 Passes 240
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 38
18 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Krasnodar vs Khimki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krasnodar cruised past Khimki 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Krasnodar as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Krasnodar had 54% of the ball to Khimki's 46%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.94 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Krasnodar and 1.17 for Khimki.

What was the final score of Krasnodar vs Khimki?

Krasnodar 4-0 Khimki in the Russia - Premier League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krasnodar vs Khimki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Krasnodar 59%, draw 20%, Khimki 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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