CSKA Moskova vs Krasnodar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CSKA Moskova v Krasnodar — Team-Based Signals
CSKA Moskova vs Krasnodar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
CSKA Moskova
RUS
1-0
HT 1-0
Krasnodar
RUS
1-1
HT 0-1
CSKA Moskova
RUK
CSKA Moskova 1-0 Krasnodar — Actual Match Statistics
CSKA Moskova edged past Krasnodar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; CSKA Moskova found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, CSKA Moskova had 48% of the ball to Krasnodar's 52%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.93 to 0.65 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold CSKA Moskova's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CSKA Moskova and 0.83 for Krasnodar.
What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs Krasnodar?
CSKA Moskova 1-0 Krasnodar in the Russia - Premier League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs Krasnodar?
Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 35%, draw 31%, Krasnodar 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Moskova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.