Makhachkala 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 10 May 2025

Makhachkala
0-1 HT 0-1
Zenit St. Petersburg
📅10/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Makhachkala vs Zenit St. Petersburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.4
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
51%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.29
No
51%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.67
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
4.64
6+ Goals
8%
24.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
12.1
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
8%
21.5
X/1
10%
12.7
X/2
16%
3.69
X/X
11%
4.82
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
27%
1.93
2/X
6%
18.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
15%
+9.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
51%
Away Win
61%
-10.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.6pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Makhachkala v Zenit St. Petersburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 66%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
0.93/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.71
-7% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +20%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
244 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
22.8 Crosses 20.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.2

Makhachkala vs Zenit St. Petersburg Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Makhachkala
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.67 xG 3.50
28% Ball Possession 72%
7 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 9
148 Passes 473
67% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 51
10 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.11.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 HT 2-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS

Makhachkala 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Makhachkala
0-1
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
0.77 xG 0.48
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
309 Passes 336
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
9 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Makhachkala vs Zenit St. Petersburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg squeezed past Makhachkala 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Makhachkala had 49% of the ball to Zenit St. Petersburg's 51%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 0.77 to 0.48.

What was the final score of Makhachkala vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Makhachkala 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Russia - Premier League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Makhachkala vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Makhachkala 25%, draw 24%, Zenit St. Petersburg 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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