Nakhon Ratchasima vs BG Pathum United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nakhon Ratchasima v BG Pathum United — Team-Based Signals
Nakhon Ratchasima vs BG Pathum United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-4
HT 0-2
BG Pathum United
TAY
3-0
HT 0-0
Nakhon Ratchasima
TAY
0-0
HT 0-0
BG Pathum United
TAY
Nakhon Ratchasima 0-1 BG Pathum United — Actual Match Statistics
BG Pathum United squeezed past Nakhon Ratchasima 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had BG Pathum United as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Nakhon Ratchasima had 30% of the ball to BG Pathum United's 70%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.43 to 1.17.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, BG Pathum United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Nakhon Ratchasima and 1.60 for BG Pathum United.
What was the final score of Nakhon Ratchasima vs BG Pathum United?
Nakhon Ratchasima 0-1 BG Pathum United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nakhon Ratchasima vs BG Pathum United?
Before kick-off our model rated an BG Pathum United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Ratchasima 25%, draw 22%, BG Pathum United 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BG Pathum United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.