BUL 1-2 Kampala City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
25%
2.88
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+4.8pp
25%
Draw
31%
-6.1pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BUL EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kampala City EU Bookmakers 37%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.46/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.48
+66% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -43%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BUL
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Kampala City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Kampala City Kampala City 1-2 HT 0-1 BUL BUL UGA
20.09.2024 BUL BUL 1-1 HT 0-0 Kampala City Kampala City UGA
01.12.2021 Kampala City Kampala City 3-1 HT 1-0 BUL BUL UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BUL
1-2
AWAY Kampala City
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH BUL vs Kampala City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kampala City nicked a narrow win over BUL 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was BUL at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, BUL had 35% of the ball to Kampala City's 65%, shots finished 8-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for BUL and 1.67 for Kampala City.

What was the final score of BUL vs Kampala City?

BUL 1-2 Kampala City in the Uganda - Premier League on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BUL vs Kampala City?

Before kick-off our model rated a BUL win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split BUL 41%, draw 25%, Kampala City 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (BUL) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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