Tottenham vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tottenham v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals
Tottenham vs Liverpool Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Liverpool
İNP
4-3
HT 3-1
Tottenham
İNP
1-2
HT 0-2
Liverpool
İNP
1-1
HT 0-0
Tottenham
İNP
Tottenham 1-0 Liverpool — Actual Match Statistics
Tottenham squeezed past Liverpool 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Liverpool at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Tottenham had 40% of the ball to Liverpool's 60%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.89 to 1.37 — on chances, Liverpool could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tottenham and 3.00 for Liverpool.
What was the final score of Tottenham vs Liverpool?
Tottenham 1-0 Liverpool in the England - League Cup on 08/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tottenham vs Liverpool?
Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Tottenham 25%, draw 22%, Liverpool 53%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.