Tottenham 3-6 Liverpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.87
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
47%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.17
Over 2.5
62%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.38
No
41%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
8.15
2-3 Goals
35%
2.31
4-5 Goals
29%
2.32
6+ Goals
17%
3.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.32
1/2
10%
17.75
1/X
7%
14.2
X/1
8%
10.75
X/2
13%
4.61
X/X
10%
7.64
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.0
2/X
5%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+7.6pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.4pp
47%
Away Win
57%
-9.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
28%
+9.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
72%
-9.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.6pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tottenham EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool EU Bookmakers 61%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +12%
1.17/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.30
-14% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -15%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 464 · 84%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.3
16.4 Crosses 19.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tottenham
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Liverpool
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.77 xG 1.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
389 Passes 458
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 34
19 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.05.2024 Liverpool Liverpool 4-2 HT 2-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
30.09.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 2-1 HT 1-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
30.04.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 4-3 HT 3-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
06.11.2022 Tottenham Tottenham 1-2 HT 0-2 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
07.05.2022 Liverpool Liverpool 1-1 HT 0-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
19.12.2021 Tottenham Tottenham 2-2 HT 1-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tottenham
3-6
AWAY Liverpool
1.27 xG 5.63
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 24
5 Shots on Target 12
7 Corners 5
466 Passes 432
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
30 Box Touches 51
16 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tottenham vs Liverpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool cruised past Tottenham 6-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 6-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Tottenham had 52% of the ball to Liverpool's 48%, shots finished 9-24, expected goals 1.27 to 5.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Tottenham and 2.33 for Liverpool.

What was the final score of Tottenham vs Liverpool?

Tottenham 3-6 Liverpool in the England - Premier League on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tottenham vs Liverpool?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Tottenham 30%, draw 23%, Liverpool 47%. The final score 3-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNP More England - Premier League
22 Dec 2024
17:00 Everton vs Chelsea Analysis →
17:00 Manchester United vs Bournemouth Analysis →
17:00 Fulham vs Southampton Analysis →
17:00 Leicester City vs Wolverhampton Analysis →