Manchester United 0-3 Bournemouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 22 Dec 2024

Manchester United
0-3 HT 0-1
Bournemouth
📅22/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Manchester United vs Bournemouth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
27%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
9.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.42
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
15%
4.39
X/2
11%
8.46
X/X
9%
5.32
2/1
6%
22.55
2/2
11%
6.04
2/X
10%
14.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manchester United v Bournemouth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Bournemouth EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +14%
1.41/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.74
-21% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
16.6 Crosses 18.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

Manchester United vs Bournemouth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Bournemouth
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.56 xG 1.41
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
501 Passes 280
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
35 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Bournemouth Bournemouth 2-2 HT 2-1 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
09.12.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 0-3 HT 0-1 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
20.05.2023 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0-1 HT 0-1 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
03.01.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 3-0 HT 1-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
04.07.2020 Manchester United Manchester United 5-2 HT 3-1 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
02.11.2019 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-0 HT 1-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP

Manchester United 0-3 Bournemouth — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United
0-3
AWAY Bournemouth
2.28 xG 1.63
60% Ball Possession 40%
23 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
13 Corners 1
396 Passes 253
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
45 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Manchester United vs Bournemouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bournemouth ran out comfortable winners over Manchester United 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Manchester United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Manchester United had 60% of the ball to Bournemouth's 40%, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 2.28 to 1.63 — on chances, Manchester United could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Manchester United and 1.33 for Bournemouth.

What was the final score of Manchester United vs Bournemouth?

Manchester United 0-3 Bournemouth in the England - Premier League on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United vs Bournemouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Manchester United 46%, draw 25%, Bournemouth 29%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Manchester United), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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