Everton 0-0 Chelsea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
43%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.22
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
2.87
6+ Goals
12%
8.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.92
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
21.35
1/X
6%
15.2
X/1
14%
9.72
X/2
12%
4.16
X/X
12%
5.89
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.15
2/X
8%
14.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.35 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
22%
+9.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
42%
Away Win
55%
-12.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.3pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea EU Bookmakers 59%
+13% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +12%
1.26/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.09
+14% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +5%
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
263 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 467 · 83%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.5
19.3 Crosses 18.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Chelsea
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.00 xG 1.97
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
185 Passes 571
66% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2024 Chelsea Chelsea 6-0 HT 4-0 Everton Everton İNP
10.12.2023 Everton Everton 2-0 HT 0-0 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
18.03.2023 Chelsea Chelsea 2-2 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
06.08.2022 Everton Everton 0-1 HT 0-1 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
01.05.2022 Everton Everton 1-0 HT 0-0 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
16.12.2021 Chelsea Chelsea 1-1 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton
0-0
AWAY Chelsea
1.03 xG 1.17
25% Ball Possession 75%
5 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
152 Passes 577
73% Pass Accuracy 90%
7 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Everton vs Chelsea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Everton and Chelsea fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Chelsea at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Everton had 25% of the ball to Chelsea's 75%, shots finished 5-12, expected goals 1.03 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Everton and 1.67 for Chelsea.

What was the final score of Everton vs Chelsea?

Everton 0-0 Chelsea in the England - Premier League on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton vs Chelsea?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Everton 32%, draw 25%, Chelsea 42%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chelsea) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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