Famalicao U23 3-1 Benfica U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 8 Jan 2025

📅08/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.53
No
57%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.9pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
61%
-18.1pp
57%
BTTS No
39%
+18.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 48%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.54/1.46
-28% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Famalicao U23
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Benfica U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 1-1 HT 1-0 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
13.02.2024 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 3-2 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao U23
3-1
AWAY Benfica U23
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Famalicao U23 vs Benfica U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao U23 got the better of Benfica U23 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 22% / 41% — and on the day Famalicao U23 made the difference. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Famalicao U23 had 47% of the ball to Benfica U23's 53%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Famalicao U23 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Famalicao U23 and 1.50 for Benfica U23.

What was the final score of Famalicao U23 vs Benfica U23?

Famalicao U23 3-1 Benfica U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 08/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao U23 vs Benfica U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Famalicao U23 37%, draw 22%, Benfica U23 41%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Benfica U23) ✗ BTTS No
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