Benfica U23 1-1 Famalicao U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 16 Apr 2024

📅16/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.43
No
37%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.5pp
63%
BTTS Yes
66%
-2.7pp
37%
BTTS No
34%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
-53% / -53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.00
-41% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +65%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Famalicao U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
13.02.2024 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 3-2 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica U23
1-1
AWAY Famalicao U23
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Benfica U23 vs Famalicao U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica U23 and Famalicao U23 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (63%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Benfica U23 had 55% of the ball to Famalicao U23's 45%, shots finished 9-14.

What was the final score of Benfica U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Benfica U23 1-1 Famalicao U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Benfica U23 38%, draw 25%, Famalicao U23 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/25/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PORU23 More Portugal - U23 National Championship
16 Apr 2024
13:00 Farense U23 vs Leixoes U23 Analysis →
13:00 Rio Ave U23 vs Santa Clara U23 Analysis →
13:00 Torreense U23 vs Estrela U23 Analysis →
17:00 Gil Vicente U23 vs Vizela U23 Analysis →