Gil Vicente U23 1-0 Vizela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 16 Apr 2024

📅16/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
43%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-7.2pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.6pp
43%
Away Win
34%
+9.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.3pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.50
+20% / -65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
323 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Vizela U23
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 10
12 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 5
14.02.2024 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 4-3 HT 3-1 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente U23
1-0
AWAY Vizela U23
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente U23 vs Vizela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente U23 edged past Vizela U23 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Vizela U23 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gil Vicente U23 had 59% of the ball to Vizela U23's 41%, shots finished 10-4.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente U23 vs Vizela U23?

Gil Vicente U23 1-0 Vizela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente U23 vs Vizela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vizela U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente U23 34%, draw 22%, Vizela U23 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vizela U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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