Farense U23 2-1 Leixoes U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 16 Apr 2024

📅16/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes U23 EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -41%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farense U23
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Leixoes U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.02.2024 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 1-2 HT 1-0 Farense U23 Farense U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farense U23
2-1
AWAY Leixoes U23
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Farense U23 vs Leixoes U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farense U23 edged past Leixoes U23 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Farense U23 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Farense U23 had 54% of the ball to Leixoes U23's 46%, shots finished 15-11.

What was the final score of Farense U23 vs Leixoes U23?

Farense U23 2-1 Leixoes U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farense U23 vs Leixoes U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Farense U23 50%, draw 27%, Leixoes U23 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farense U23), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Farense U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PORU23 More Portugal - U23 National Championship
16 Apr 2024
13:00 Rio Ave U23 vs Santa Clara U23 Analysis →
13:00 Torreense U23 vs Estrela U23 Analysis →
17:00 Gil Vicente U23 vs Vizela U23 Analysis →
17:00 Benfica U23 vs Famalicao U23 Analysis →