Rio Ave U23 2-3 Santa Clara U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 16 Apr 2024

📅16/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-3.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 43%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
3.32/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.34
+116% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rio Ave U23
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Santa Clara U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.02.2024 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 1-1 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rio Ave U23
2-3
AWAY Santa Clara U23
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Rio Ave U23 vs Santa Clara U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara U23 nicked a narrow win over Rio Ave U23 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Santa Clara U23 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Rio Ave U23 had 60% of the ball to Santa Clara U23's 40%, shots finished 13-8.

What was the final score of Rio Ave U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Rio Ave U23 2-3 Santa Clara U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Ave U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rio Ave U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave U23 37%, draw 26%, Santa Clara U23 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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