Asteras Tripolis 2-0 Panionios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 8 Jan 2025

📅08/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.47
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
25%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.27
No
51%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
64%
-16.7pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.9pp
25%
Away Win
13%
+11.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.6pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Panionios EU Bookmakers 16%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
3.13/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.22/1.97
+47% / -70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +23%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Panionios
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
18.12.2024 Panionios Panionios 0-2 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUK
15.06.2020 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-0 HT 0-0 Panionios Panionios YUN
23.01.2020 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 2-0 HT 1-0 Panionios Panionios YUN
20.10.2019 Panionios Panionios 0-1 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
03.08.2019 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-0 HT 0-0 Panionios Panionios HAZ
05.05.2019 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 3-0 HT 1-0 Panionios Panionios YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
2-0
AWAY Panionios
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs Panionios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asteras Tripolis got the better of Panionios 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Asteras Tripolis as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 57% of the ball to Panionios's 43%, shots finished 15-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asteras Tripolis had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 0.00 for Panionios.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Panionios?

Asteras Tripolis 2-0 Panionios in the Greece - Cup on 08/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs Panionios?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asteras Tripolis win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 47%, draw 28%, Panionios 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asteras Tripolis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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