Panathinaikos 2-1 Atromitos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 8 Jan 2025

📅08/01/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
2.98
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
3.53
6+ Goals
11%
14.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 28% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.82
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
19.4
X/1
11%
3.45
X/2
11%
13.85
X/X
11%
5.54
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
8%
12.05
2/X
7%
20.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
65%
-14.6pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.7pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+10.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.6pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Atromitos EU Bookmakers 17%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.42/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/1.38
+14% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +123% / +1%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
422 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Atromitos
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.33 xG 0.61
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
505 Passes 243
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 8
17 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
04.12.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 1-2 HT 1-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUK
01.12.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
31.01.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 0-2 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUK
24.01.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-2 HT 1-2 Atromitos Atromitos YUK
17.12.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 3-2 HT 1-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
08.10.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 5-0 HT 3-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
2-1
AWAY Atromitos
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs Atromitos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos squeezed past Atromitos 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Panathinaikos as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Panathinaikos had 62% of the ball to Atromitos's 38%, shots finished 9-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Panathinaikos and 1.17 for Atromitos.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs Atromitos?

Panathinaikos 2-1 Atromitos in the Greece - Cup on 08/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs Atromitos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 50%, draw 25%, Atromitos 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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