Panathinaikos 1-1 Atromitos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 1 Dec 2024

Panathinaikos
1-1 HT 1-0
Atromitos
📅01/12/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2024/2025

Panathinaikos vs Atromitos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.83
6+ Goals
9%
16.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 29% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.92
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.85
X/1
18%
3.57
X/2 EV+ ✗
11%
12.5
X/X
11%
5.25
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
8%
10.75
2/X
7%
19.0
Value flag · X/2 at 12.5 — our 11% vs market 5.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
63%
-13.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+11.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.1pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Panathinaikos v Atromitos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Atromitos EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
1.44/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.39
+4% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
375 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
18.4 Crosses 12.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7

Panathinaikos vs Atromitos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Atromitos
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.10 xG 0.46
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
545 Passes 218
88% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 6
19 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
31.01.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 0-2 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUK
24.01.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-2 HT 1-2 Atromitos Atromitos YUK
17.12.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 3-2 HT 1-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
08.10.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 5-0 HT 3-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
12.03.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 0-2 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
13.11.2022 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN

Panathinaikos 1-1 Atromitos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
1-1
AWAY Atromitos
1.73 xG 0.42
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
406 Passes 315
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs Atromitos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos and Atromitos couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Panathinaikos at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Panathinaikos had 56% of the ball to Atromitos's 44%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.73 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Panathinaikos and 0.83 for Atromitos.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs Atromitos?

Panathinaikos 1-1 Atromitos in the Greece - Super League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs Atromitos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 49%, draw 25%, Atromitos 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Panathinaikos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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