PAOK 2-2 Kallithea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.28
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.91
4-5 Goals
21%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
8.81
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.46 — our 26% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.48
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
25.5
X/1
20%
3.37
X/2
5%
22.1
X/X
9%
7.97
2/1
9%
24.3
2/2
7%
18.0
2/X
5%
25.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
74%
-11.5pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.6pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+7.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAOK EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Kallithea EU Bookmakers 12%
-2% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.91/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.43
+2% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
412 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 76%
32.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
21.1 Crosses 24.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PAOK
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Kallithea
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
26.03.2006 PAOK PAOK 2-1 HT 0-0 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
20.11.2005 Kallithea Kallithea 1-1 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
20.02.2005 PAOK PAOK 3-1 HT 1-1 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
17.10.2004 Kallithea Kallithea 1-1 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
14.03.2004 Kallithea Kallithea 0-1 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
26.10.2003 PAOK PAOK 2-1 HT 2-1 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAOK
2-2
AWAY Kallithea
1.46 xG 1.03
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
415 Passes 235
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 8
29 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH PAOK vs Kallithea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK and Kallithea couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had PAOK at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, PAOK had 62% of the ball to Kallithea's 38%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.46 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for PAOK and 0.83 for Kallithea.

What was the final score of PAOK vs Kallithea?

PAOK 2-2 Kallithea in the Greece - Super League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PAOK vs Kallithea?

Before kick-off our model rated a PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split PAOK 62%, draw 20%, Kallithea 18%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (PAOK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PAOK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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