OFI 0-2 Olympiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
7.18
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
54%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.25
6+ Goals
11%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 26% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
14.55
1/2
11%
25.5
1/X
6%
20.35
X/1
7%
17.4
X/2
14%
3.61
X/X
13%
6.06
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
29%
1.65
2/X
6%
18.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
11%
+10.6pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.4pp
54%
Away Win
68%
-14.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFI EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 71%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -24%
0.84/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.64
+26% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +19%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
257 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
12.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
13.2 Crosses 23.5
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFI
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Olympiakos
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.36 xG 2.09
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
256 Passes 413
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
5 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
10.02.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 4-0 HT 3-0 OFI OFI YUN
30.10.2023 OFI OFI 0-2 HT 0-1 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
29.01.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-1 HT 1-1 OFI OFI YUN
09.10.2022 OFI OFI 1-2 HT 1-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
27.02.2022 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-0 HT 1-0 OFI OFI YUN
04.12.2021 OFI OFI 1-3 HT 1-1 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFI
0-2
AWAY Olympiakos
0.61 xG 2.09
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
253 Passes 316
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 31
17 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH OFI vs Olympiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos got the better of OFI 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Olympiakos as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, OFI had 47% of the ball to Olympiakos's 53%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.61 to 2.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for OFI and 2.50 for Olympiakos.

What was the final score of OFI vs Olympiakos?

OFI 0-2 Olympiakos in the Greece - Super League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFI vs Olympiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split OFI 22%, draw 24%, Olympiakos 54%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympiakos), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✓ BTTS No
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