Panserraikos 2-1 Asteras Tripolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.6
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
4.65
6+ Goals
8%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.44
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
13%
5.06
X/2
15%
6.43
X/X
13%
3.75
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
14%
4.87
2/X
9%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.1pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.8pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 33%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
1.45/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.02
+44% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
19.0 Crosses 15.9
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panserraikos
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.64 xG 0.99
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
296 Passes 292
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 4
30.03.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 2-0 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
03.03.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 2-1 HT 1-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
10.01.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-1 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUK
05.12.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-2 HT 0-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUK
02.12.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-0 HT 0-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
07.10.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-2 HT 0-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panserraikos
2-1
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
1.41 xG 0.93
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
399 Passes 282
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Panserraikos vs Asteras Tripolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panserraikos nicked a narrow win over Asteras Tripolis 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Panserraikos made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Panserraikos had 56% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 44%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.41 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panserraikos had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Panserraikos and 0.50 for Asteras Tripolis.

What was the final score of Panserraikos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Panserraikos 2-1 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Super League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panserraikos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panserraikos win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Panserraikos 36%, draw 30%, Asteras Tripolis 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panserraikos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Panserraikos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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