Panserraikos 2-0 Asteras Tripolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.83
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.12
6+ Goals
10%
19.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 33% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.85
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
13%
4.59
X/2
11%
7.43
X/X
15%
4.0
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
16%
5.71
2/X
5%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.9pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.0pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -34%
1.55/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.02
+22% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
20.4 Crosses 17.1
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panserraikos
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.76 xG 1.21
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
361 Passes 263
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 4
03.03.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 2-1 HT 1-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
10.01.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-1 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUK
05.12.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-2 HT 0-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUK
02.12.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-0 HT 0-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
07.10.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-2 HT 0-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUK
09.08.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-2 HT 0-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panserraikos
2-0
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
1.41 xG 0.55
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
166 Passes 351
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Panserraikos vs Asteras Tripolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panserraikos got the better of Asteras Tripolis 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Panserraikos as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Panserraikos had 35% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 65%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.41 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panserraikos had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Panserraikos and 0.67 for Asteras Tripolis.

What was the final score of Panserraikos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Panserraikos 2-0 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Super League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panserraikos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panserraikos win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Panserraikos 42%, draw 26%, Asteras Tripolis 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panserraikos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Panserraikos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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