Atromitos 1-2 Panathinaikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
44%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+6.2pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.3pp
44%
Away Win
56%
-11.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.2pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atromitos EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 60%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +22%
0.26/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.10
-72% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atromitos
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Panathinaikos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.53 xG 2.21
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
262 Passes 502
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
01.12.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
31.01.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 0-2 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUK
24.01.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-2 HT 1-2 Atromitos Atromitos YUK
17.12.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 3-2 HT 1-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
08.10.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 5-0 HT 3-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
12.03.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 0-2 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atromitos
1-2
AWAY Panathinaikos
31% Ball Possession 69%
5 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atromitos vs Panathinaikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos nicked a narrow win over Atromitos 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Panathinaikos as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atromitos had 31% of the ball to Panathinaikos's 69%, shots finished 5-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atromitos and 2.17 for Panathinaikos.

What was the final score of Atromitos vs Panathinaikos?

Atromitos 1-2 Panathinaikos in the Greece - Cup on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atromitos vs Panathinaikos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atromitos 25%, draw 31%, Panathinaikos 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
YUK More Greece - Cup
4 Dec 2024
16:30 PAOK vs Egaleo Analysis →
18:30 Olympiakos vs Kallithea Analysis →
20:30 Volos NFC vs OFI Analysis →