PAOK 7-1 Egaleo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 4 Dec 2024

PAOK
7-1 HT 3-1
Egaleo
📅04/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.11
Draw
20%
8.78
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
No
61%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
85%
-21.1pp
20%
Draw
8%
+11.9pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAOK EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Egaleo EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+6% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
562 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PAOK
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Egaleo
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.10.2024 Egaleo Egaleo 0-3 HT 0-2 PAOK PAOK YUK
10.03.2007 PAOK PAOK 2-0 HT 2-0 Egaleo Egaleo YUN
11.11.2006 Egaleo Egaleo 0-2 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
12.02.2006 Egaleo Egaleo 1-0 HT 1-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
25.09.2005 PAOK PAOK 2-0 HT 2-0 Egaleo Egaleo YUN
25.05.2005 PAOK PAOK 2-4 HT 1-2 Egaleo Egaleo YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAOK
7-1
AWAY Egaleo
75% Ball Possession 25%
21 Total Shots 3
10 Shots on Target 2
16 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PAOK vs Egaleo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK ran out comfortable winners over Egaleo 7-1. Half-time: 3-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PAOK had 75% of the ball to Egaleo's 25%, shots finished 21-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for PAOK and 0.83 for Egaleo.

What was the final score of PAOK vs Egaleo?

PAOK 7-1 Egaleo in the Greece - Cup on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PAOK vs Egaleo?

Before kick-off our model rated a PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split PAOK 64%, draw 20%, Egaleo 16%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✗ BTTS No
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