Olympiakos 1-1 Kallithea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.29
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
20%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
73%
-13.2pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.7pp
20%
Away Win
10%
+10.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.3pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Kallithea EU Bookmakers 12%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.63/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.21
+10% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +87%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
499 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympiakos
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kallithea
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.60 xG 0.79
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
365 Passes 200
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
25 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
30.10.2024 Kallithea Kallithea 0-1 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUK
26.08.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-1 HT 1-0 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
06.02.2006 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-1 HT 1-1 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
17.09.2005 Kallithea Kallithea 0-3 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
23.01.2005 Kallithea Kallithea 1-1 HT 0-1 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
12.01.2005 Kallithea Kallithea 3-2 HT 1-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympiakos
1-1
AWAY Kallithea
66% Ball Possession 34%
25 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Olympiakos vs Kallithea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos and Kallithea couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Olympiakos at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Olympiakos had 66% of the ball to Kallithea's 34%, shots finished 25-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Olympiakos and 1.00 for Kallithea.

What was the final score of Olympiakos vs Kallithea?

Olympiakos 1-1 Kallithea in the Greece - Cup on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympiakos vs Kallithea?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Olympiakos 60%, draw 20%, Kallithea 20%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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