El Bayadh 1-0 Mostaganem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 8 Jan 2026

📅08/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.44
No
54%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
1.99
2-3 Goals
50%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
6.03
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.2pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.2pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
37%
+8.9pp
54%
BTTS No
63%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Bayadh EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mostaganem EU Bookmakers 21%
-19% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.08/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.07/0.81
-22% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -92% / +57%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
436 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Bayadh
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Mostaganem
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.05.2025 Mostaganem Mostaganem 0-0 HT 0-0 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
30.11.2024 El Bayadh El Bayadh 1-1 HT 0-0 Mostaganem Mostaganem CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Bayadh
1-0
AWAY Mostaganem
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH El Bayadh vs Mostaganem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Bayadh squeezed past Mostaganem 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had El Bayadh as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, El Bayadh had 55% of the ball to Mostaganem's 45%, shots finished 14-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for El Bayadh and 0.50 for Mostaganem.

What was the final score of El Bayadh vs Mostaganem?

El Bayadh 1-0 Mostaganem in the Algeria - 1st Division on 08/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Bayadh vs Mostaganem?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Bayadh win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split El Bayadh 50%, draw 31%, Mostaganem 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Bayadh), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (El Bayadh) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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