USM Alger 1-1 MC Oran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 8 Jan 2026

📅08/01/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
17%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.4
No
50%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
5.25
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-3.0pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-0.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
38%
+12.6pp
50%
BTTS No
62%
-12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Alger EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY MC Oran EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
1.41/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.50
+3% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Alger
2W-1D-3L
AWAY MC Oran
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.06.2025 MC Oran MC Oran 4-0 HT 1-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
26.12.2024 USM Alger USM Alger 3-0 HT 0-0 MC Oran MC Oran CZYR
21.05.2024 MC Oran MC Oran 1-0 HT 1-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
15.01.2024 USM Alger USM Alger 2-0 HT 0-0 MC Oran MC Oran CZYR
10.06.2023 USM Alger USM Alger 0-0 HT 0-0 MC Oran MC Oran CZYR
02.10.2022 MC Oran MC Oran 1-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Alger
1-1
AWAY MC Oran
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH USM Alger vs MC Oran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger and MC Oran shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was USM Alger at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, USM Alger had 51% of the ball to MC Oran's 49%, shots finished 16-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MC Oran led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for USM Alger and 1.00 for MC Oran.

What was the final score of USM Alger vs MC Oran?

USM Alger 1-1 MC Oran in the Algeria - 1st Division on 08/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Alger vs MC Oran?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 53%, draw 30%, MC Oran 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (USM Alger) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (USM Alger) ✓ Under 2.5
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