MC Oran 4-0 USM Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 20 Jun 2025

📅20/06/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
24%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+1.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-3.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.6pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MC Oran EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Alger EU Bookmakers 31%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -34%
1.23/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.23
-5% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
376 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MC Oran
3W-1D-2L
AWAY USM Alger
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.12.2024 USM Alger USM Alger 3-0 HT 0-0 MC Oran MC Oran CZYR
21.05.2024 MC Oran MC Oran 1-0 HT 1-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
15.01.2024 USM Alger USM Alger 2-0 HT 0-0 MC Oran MC Oran CZYR
10.06.2023 USM Alger USM Alger 0-0 HT 0-0 MC Oran MC Oran CZYR
02.10.2022 MC Oran MC Oran 1-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
18.04.2022 MC Oran MC Oran 2-1 HT 1-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MC Oran
4-0
AWAY USM Alger
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH MC Oran vs USM Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MC Oran cruised past USM Alger 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had MC Oran as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, MC Oran had 49% of the ball to USM Alger's 51%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MC Oran had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for MC Oran and 1.00 for USM Alger.

What was the final score of MC Oran vs USM Alger?

MC Oran 4-0 USM Alger in the Algeria - 1st Division on 20/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MC Oran vs USM Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated a MC Oran win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split MC Oran 47%, draw 29%, USM Alger 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MC Oran), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MC Oran) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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