USM Alger 3-0 MC Oran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.45
Over 2.5
42%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.81
No
57%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
1.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
5.86
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
62%
-6.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+6.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-7.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+7.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
32%
+11.2pp
57%
BTTS No
68%
-11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Alger EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY MC Oran EU Bookmakers 16%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
1.60/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.55
+7% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Alger
1W-2D-3L
AWAY MC Oran
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.05.2024 MC Oran MC Oran 1-0 HT 1-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
15.01.2024 USM Alger USM Alger 2-0 HT 0-0 MC Oran MC Oran CZYR
10.06.2023 USM Alger USM Alger 0-0 HT 0-0 MC Oran MC Oran CZYR
02.10.2022 MC Oran MC Oran 1-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
18.04.2022 MC Oran MC Oran 2-1 HT 1-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
24.12.2021 USM Alger USM Alger 0-0 HT 0-0 MC Oran MC Oran CZYR
POST-MATCH USM Alger vs MC Oran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger ran out comfortable winners over MC Oran 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had USM Alger as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MC Oran led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for USM Alger and 0.67 for MC Oran.

What was the final score of USM Alger vs MC Oran?

USM Alger 3-0 MC Oran in the Algeria - 1st Division on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Alger vs MC Oran?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 55%, draw 26%, MC Oran 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Alger), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (USM Alger) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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