PSG 2-2 Marsilya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Super Cup, 8 Jan 2026

PSG
2 - 2 HT 1 - 0 AET 2-2 · Pen 4-1
Marsilya
📅08/01/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
France - Super Cup – 2025/2026

PSG vs Marsilya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
66%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
15%
4.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.2
Over
62%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.55
2-3
42%
1.91
4-5
29%
2.82
6+
11%
7.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.88
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
4%
15.75
X/1
19%
4.18
X/2
6%
11.85
X/X
11%
6.66
2/1
4%
20.3
2/2
8%
9.12
2/X
4%
17.65
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

PSG v Marsilya — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME PSG The Market 67%
Signal
AWAY Marsilya The Market 20%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
2.11 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.21
1.81 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.21
Average Attack Strength Great
Great Defense Strength Average
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
461 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 79%
40 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4

PSG vs Marsilya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSG
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Marsilya
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.08 xG 1.04
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
594 Passes 298
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.09.2025 Marsilya Marsilya 1-0 HT 1-0 PSG PSG FR1
16.03.2025 PSG PSG 3-1 HT 2-0 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
27.10.2024 Marsilya Marsilya 0-3 HT 0-3 PSG PSG FR1
31.03.2024 Marsilya Marsilya 0-2 HT 0-0 PSG PSG FR1
24.09.2023 PSG PSG 4-0 HT 2-0 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
26.02.2023 Marsilya Marsilya 0-3 HT 0-2 PSG PSG FR1

PSG 2-2 Marsilya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSG
2 - 2
AWAY Marsilya
1.92 xG 2.02
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 12
434 Passes 350
89% Pass Accuracy 87%
28 Box Touches 27
7 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW PSG vs Marsilya
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

PSG and Marsilya shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. PSG carried 66% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%) came home.

Under the surface, PSG had 54% of the ball to Marsilya's 46%, shots finished 17-17, expected goals 1.92 to 2.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for PSG and 0.33 for Marsilya.

PSG vs Marsilya Result & Final Score

PSG 2 - 2 Marsilya in the France - Super Cup on 08/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

PSG vs Marsilya Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split PSG 66%, draw 19%, Marsilya 15%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PSG) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSG) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →