Haras El Hodood 1-1 Smouha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Cup, 8 Jan 2026

📅08/01/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.32
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.19
No
49%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
26%
+8.6pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.0pp
36%
Away Win
43%
-7.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.5pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haras El Hodood EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Smouha EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haras El Hodood
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Smouha
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.98 xG 1.30
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
211 Passes 273
67% Pass Accuracy 73%
13 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.09.2025 Smouha Smouha 1-0 HT 1-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
30.10.2024 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 1-3 HT 1-2 Smouha Smouha MSR
26.02.2023 Smouha Smouha 3-0 HT 1-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
01.11.2022 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 0-0 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
28.09.2020 Smouha Smouha 2-0 HT 0-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
12.01.2020 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 0-0 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haras El Hodood
1-1
AWAY Smouha
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Haras El Hodood vs Smouha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haras El Hodood and Smouha shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Haras El Hodood had 34% of the ball to Smouha's 66%, shots finished 7-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Smouha led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Haras El Hodood and 1.50 for Smouha.

What was the final score of Haras El Hodood vs Smouha?

Haras El Hodood 1-1 Smouha in the Egypt - Cup on 08/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haras El Hodood vs Smouha?

Before kick-off our model rated an Smouha win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Haras El Hodood 35%, draw 29%, Smouha 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Smouha) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Smouha) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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