Karabağ 3-4 Sabah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Cup, 8 Feb 2024

Karabağ
3-4 HT 1-2
Sabah
📅08/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Azerbaijan - Cup – 2023/2024

Karabağ vs Sabah Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.3pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Karabağ v Sabah — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karabağ EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabah EU Bookmakers 21%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-10% / +110% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
419 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards –

Karabağ vs Sabah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karabağ
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sabah
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.01.2024 Sabah Sabah 1-7 HT 0-3 Karabağ Karabağ AZERK
24.11.2023 Sabah Sabah 1-2 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
17.09.2023 Karabağ Karabağ 2-0 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
16.04.2023 Sabah Sabah 2-1 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
11.02.2023 Karabağ Karabağ 1-1 HT 1-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
13.11.2022 Sabah Sabah 0-0 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
POST-MATCH Karabağ vs Sabah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah edged past Karabağ 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Karabağ at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Karabağ and 0.83 for Sabah.

What was the final score of Karabağ vs Sabah?

Karabağ 3-4 Sabah in the Azerbaijan - Cup on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karabağ vs Sabah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Karabağ 52%, draw 24%, Sabah 23%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Karabağ) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karabağ) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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