Zira 3-0 Sebail FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Cup, 8 Feb 2024

Zira
3-0 HT 2-0
Sebail FK
📅08/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Azerbaijan - Cup – 2023/2024

Zira vs Sebail FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.78
Over 2.5
41%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+1.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.9pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zira v Sebail FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zira EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Sebail FK EU Bookmakers 30%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+1% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / –
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Zira vs Sebail FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zira
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sebail FK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.01.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 1-2 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERK
22.01.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
28.10.2023 Zira Zira 2-2 HT 1-2 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
19.08.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 1-2 HT 1-1 Zira Zira AZERS
14.04.2023 Zira Zira 3-1 HT 0-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
12.02.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 2-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
POST-MATCH Zira vs Sebail FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira cruised past Sebail FK 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zira as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zira had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zira and 1.17 for Sebail FK.

What was the final score of Zira vs Sebail FK?

Zira 3-0 Sebail FK in the Azerbaijan - Cup on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zira vs Sebail FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Zira 48%, draw 26%, Sebail FK 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zira), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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