Aparecidense 1-1 Goianesia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Goiano 1, 8 Feb 2024

📅08/02/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
30%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
35%
4-5
23%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
34%
+10.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
30%
Away Win
41%
-11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aparecidense The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Goianesia The Market 45%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.24/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/0.70
+17% / +111% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aparecidense
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Goianesia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
22.04.2021 Aparecidense Aparecidense 1-0 HT 0-0 Goianesia Goianesia BRGO1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aparecidense
1-1
AWAY Goianesia
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Aparecidense vs Goianesia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aparecidense and Goianesia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Aparecidense at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Aparecidense had 64% of the ball to Goianesia's 36%, shots finished 12-7.

What was the final score of Aparecidense vs Goianesia?

Aparecidense 1-1 Goianesia in the Brazil - Goiano 1 on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aparecidense vs Goianesia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aparecidense win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Aparecidense 45%, draw 26%, Goianesia 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aparecidense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aparecidense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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