Morrinhos 0-3 Goias — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Goiano 1, 8 Feb 2024

📅08/02/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
35%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No Pick
59%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
41%
4-5
18%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
62%
-21.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
35%
Away Win
16%
+19.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Morrinhos The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Goias The Market 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% /
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Morrinhos
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Goias
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
18.02.2022 Goias Goias 2-0 HT 0-0 Morrinhos Morrinhos BRGO1
06.02.2022 Morrinhos Morrinhos 1-1 HT 0-1 Goias Goias BRGO1
POST-MATCH Morrinhos vs Goias
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goias cruised past Morrinhos 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Morrinhos at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Goias led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Morrinhos and 1.50 for Goias.

What was the final score of Morrinhos vs Goias?

Morrinhos 0-3 Goias in the Brazil - Goiano 1 on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Morrinhos vs Goias?

Before kick-off our model rated a Morrinhos win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Morrinhos 41%, draw 24%, Goias 35%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Morrinhos), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Morrinhos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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8 Feb 2024
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