Vila Nova 1-0 Jataiense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Goiano 1, 8 Feb 2024

📅08/02/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
40%
4-5
25%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vila Nova The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Jataiense The Market 32%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.70/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+6% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Vila Nova vs Jataiense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vila Nova nicked a narrow win over Jataiense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vila Nova as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Vila Nova vs Jataiense?

Vila Nova 1-0 Jataiense in the Brazil - Goiano 1 on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs Jataiense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vila Nova 41%, draw 30%, Jataiense 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vila Nova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vila Nova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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