Alianza 5-0 Jocoro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 8 Feb 2024

📅08/02/2024 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-11.6pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+9.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.1pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Jocoro EU Bookmakers 18%
-9% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +13%
1.49/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.50
-16% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
454 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Jocoro
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 5
27.11.2023 Alianza Alianza 2-2 HT 0-2 Jocoro Jocoro ELSAL
02.10.2023 Jocoro Jocoro 3-2 HT 1-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
30.03.2023 Alianza Alianza 5-2 HT 1-1 Jocoro Jocoro ELSAL
02.02.2023 Jocoro Jocoro 0-3 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
20.03.2022 Alianza Alianza 2-1 HT 1-0 Jocoro Jocoro ELSAL
23.01.2022 Jocoro Jocoro 3-2 HT 1-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Jocoro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza ran out comfortable winners over Jocoro 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Alianza and 1.83 for Jocoro.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Jocoro?

Alianza 5-0 Jocoro in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Jocoro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Alianza 51%, draw 25%, Jocoro 24%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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