Municipal Limeno 2-1 Dragon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 8 Feb 2024

📅08/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.5pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.2pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+6.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dragon EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.41/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.30
+6% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
365 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Limeno
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Dragon
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 3-2 HT 0-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
14.08.2023 Dragon Dragon 3-1 HT 0-1 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
POST-MATCH Municipal Limeno vs Dragon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Limeno squeezed past Dragon 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Municipal Limeno as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Municipal Limeno and 2.50 for Dragon.

What was the final score of Municipal Limeno vs Dragon?

Municipal Limeno 2-1 Dragon in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Limeno vs Dragon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Limeno win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Municipal Limeno 44%, draw 21%, Dragon 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal Limeno), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Municipal Limeno) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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