Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 Santa Tecla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 8 Feb 2024

📅08/02/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-4.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.2pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Tecla EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuerte San Francisco
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Santa Tecla
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.11.2023 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 1-1 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
11.09.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 2-1 HT 0-1 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
POST-MATCH Fuerte San Francisco vs Santa Tecla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Tecla squeezed past Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Fuerte San Francisco at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fuerte San Francisco had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fuerte San Francisco and 1.00 for Santa Tecla.

What was the final score of Fuerte San Francisco vs Santa Tecla?

Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 Santa Tecla in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuerte San Francisco vs Santa Tecla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fuerte San Francisco win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Fuerte San Francisco 54%, draw 25%, Santa Tecla 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fuerte San Francisco) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fuerte San Francisco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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