Hemel Hempstead Town 4-2 Chippenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.91
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
3.6
6+ Goals
10%
15.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
1.44/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.26
+3% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Chippenham Town
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2024 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 3-0 HT 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
06.01.2024 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 2-3 HT 1-2 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
05.12.2023 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 0-2 HT 0-2 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
21.02.2023 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
25.10.2022 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
18.12.2021 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
4-2
AWAY Chippenham Town
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chippenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hemel Hempstead Town got the better of Chippenham Town 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Hemel Hempstead Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Hemel Hempstead Town had 53% of the ball to Chippenham Town's 47%, shots finished 17-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chippenham Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hemel Hempstead Town and 1.67 for Chippenham Town.

What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chippenham Town?

Hemel Hempstead Town 4-2 Chippenham Town in the England - Conference on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chippenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chippenham Town win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 35%, draw 28%, Chippenham Town 36%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chippenham Town), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chippenham Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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