Chippenham Town 2-3 Hemel Hempstead Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Jan 2024

Chippenham Town
2-3 HT 1-2
Hemel Hempstead Town
📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Conference – 2023/2024

Chippenham Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.33
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.31
6+ Goals
10%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 28% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.3pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chippenham Town v Hemel Hempstead Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.44/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.47
+7% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.8

Chippenham Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chippenham Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.12.2023 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 0-2 HT 0-2 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
21.02.2023 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
25.10.2022 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
18.12.2021 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
26.10.2021 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
08.02.2020 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON

Chippenham Town 2-3 Hemel Hempstead Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chippenham Town
2-3
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chippenham Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hemel Hempstead Town edged past Chippenham Town 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Hemel Hempstead Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Chippenham Town had 64% of the ball to Hemel Hempstead Town's 36%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chippenham Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Chippenham Town and 0.67 for Hemel Hempstead Town.

What was the final score of Chippenham Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Chippenham Town 2-3 Hemel Hempstead Town in the England - Conference on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chippenham Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hemel Hempstead Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chippenham Town 34%, draw 28%, Hemel Hempstead Town 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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