Chippenham Town 3-0 Hemel Hempstead Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 19 Oct 2024

Chippenham Town
3-0 HT 1-0
Hemel Hempstead Town
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Chippenham Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.35
6+ Goals
9%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 32% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.4pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.0pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chippenham Town v Hemel Hempstead Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.38/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.13
+5% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.2

Chippenham Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chippenham Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.01.2024 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 2-3 HT 1-2 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
05.12.2023 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 0-2 HT 0-2 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
21.02.2023 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
25.10.2022 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
18.12.2021 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
26.10.2021 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON

Chippenham Town 3-0 Hemel Hempstead Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chippenham Town
3-0
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 4
12 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Chippenham Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chippenham Town ran out comfortable winners over Hemel Hempstead Town 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Chippenham Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chippenham Town had 64% of the ball to Hemel Hempstead Town's 36%, shots finished 22-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hemel Hempstead Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chippenham Town and 1.17 for Hemel Hempstead Town.

What was the final score of Chippenham Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Chippenham Town 3-0 Hemel Hempstead Town in the England - Conference on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chippenham Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chippenham Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chippenham Town 38%, draw 29%, Hemel Hempstead Town 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chippenham Town), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chippenham Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
19 Oct 2024
00:00 Scarborough Athletic vs Southport Analysis →
00:00 Curzon Ashton vs Hereford FC Analysis →
00:00 Kings Lynn Town vs Buxton Analysis →
00:00 Alfreton Town vs Chorley Analysis →
00:00 St. Albans City vs Welling United Analysis →
00:00 Dorking Wanderers vs Salisbury Analysis →