Alfreton Town vs Chorley Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alfreton Town v Chorley — Team-Based Signals
Alfreton Town vs Chorley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Alfreton Town
İCON
0-2
HT 0-0
Chorley
İCON
1-2
HT 1-0
Alfreton Town
İCON
0-1
HT 0-0
Chorley
İCON
Alfreton Town 1-0 Chorley — Actual Match Statistics
Alfreton Town squeezed past Chorley 1-0.
Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Alfreton Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Alfreton Town had 50% of the ball to Chorley's 50%, shots finished 7-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chorley led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alfreton Town and 1.17 for Chorley.
What was the final score of Alfreton Town vs Chorley?
Alfreton Town 1-0 Chorley in the England - Conference on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alfreton Town vs Chorley?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Alfreton Town 40%, draw 29%, Chorley 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alfreton Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.