St. Albans City 0-1 Welling United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.92
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
18.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Albans City EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Welling United EU Bookmakers 31%
-24% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
1.47/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.37
-3% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Albans City
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Welling United
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 St. Albans City St. Albans City 1-1 HT 1-1 Welling United Welling United İCON
02.09.2023 Welling United Welling United 0-0 HT 0-0 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
15.04.2023 St. Albans City St. Albans City 3-0 HT 1-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
15.10.2022 Welling United Welling United 0-3 HT 0-2 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
08.01.2022 Welling United Welling United 2-3 HT 2-2 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
28.08.2021 St. Albans City St. Albans City 5-0 HT 3-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Albans City
0-1
AWAY Welling United
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH St. Albans City vs Welling United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Welling United squeezed past St. Albans City 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was St. Albans City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, St. Albans City had 62% of the ball to Welling United's 38%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Albans City had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for St. Albans City and 0.50 for Welling United.

What was the final score of St. Albans City vs Welling United?

St. Albans City 0-1 Welling United in the England - Conference on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Albans City vs Welling United?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Albans City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split St. Albans City 41%, draw 24%, Welling United 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (St. Albans City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Albans City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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