St. Albans City 1-1 Welling United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.87
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.1pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Albans City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Welling United EU Bookmakers 27%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +4%
1.98/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.56
+8% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
460 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Albans City
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Welling United
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Welling United Welling United 0-0 HT 0-0 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
15.04.2023 St. Albans City St. Albans City 3-0 HT 1-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
15.10.2022 Welling United Welling United 0-3 HT 0-2 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
08.01.2022 Welling United Welling United 2-3 HT 2-2 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
28.08.2021 St. Albans City St. Albans City 5-0 HT 3-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
12.01.2021 Welling United Welling United 0-2 HT 0-2 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Albans City
1-1
AWAY Welling United
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St. Albans City vs Welling United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Albans City and Welling United shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was St. Albans City at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, St. Albans City had 59% of the ball to Welling United's 41%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Albans City had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for St. Albans City and 0.33 for Welling United.

What was the final score of St. Albans City vs Welling United?

St. Albans City 1-1 Welling United in the England - Conference on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Albans City vs Welling United?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Albans City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split St. Albans City 47%, draw 25%, Welling United 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. Albans City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Albans City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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