Southport 1-2 Hereford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.13
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.75
6+ Goals
9%
15.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southport EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 46%
-4% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.05/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.70
-20% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +79%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southport
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hereford FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Hereford FC Hereford FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Southport Southport İCON
25.02.2023 Southport Southport 0-1 HT 0-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
07.02.2023 Hereford FC Hereford FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Southport Southport İCON
26.02.2022 Hereford FC Hereford FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Southport Southport İCON
04.12.2021 Southport Southport 2-0 HT 0-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
06.10.2020 Southport Southport 0-0 HT 0-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southport
1-2
AWAY Hereford FC
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Southport vs Hereford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hereford FC edged past Southport 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hereford FC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Southport had 49% of the ball to Hereford FC's 51%, shots finished 10-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southport had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Southport and 0.50 for Hereford FC.

What was the final score of Southport vs Hereford FC?

Southport 1-2 Hereford FC in the England - Conference on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southport vs Hereford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hereford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Southport 31%, draw 27%, Hereford FC 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hereford FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hereford FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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