Gloucester City 1-0 Scarborough Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.4
6+ Goals
11%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 26% vs market 23.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+2.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-1.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.0pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gloucester City EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Scarborough Athletic EU Bookmakers 49%
+9% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.56/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.46
+20% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
265 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gloucester City
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Scarborough Athletic
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
02.09.2023 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Gloucester City Gloucester City İCON
11.03.2023 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 0-3 HT 0-1 Gloucester City Gloucester City İCON
12.11.2022 Gloucester City Gloucester City 2-3 HT 1-1 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gloucester City
1-0
AWAY Scarborough Athletic
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gloucester City vs Scarborough Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gloucester City edged past Scarborough Athletic 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Scarborough Athletic at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Gloucester City had 42% of the ball to Scarborough Athletic's 58%, shots finished 6-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gloucester City and 1.33 for Scarborough Athletic.

What was the final score of Gloucester City vs Scarborough Athletic?

Gloucester City 1-0 Scarborough Athletic in the England - Conference on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gloucester City vs Scarborough Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Scarborough Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gloucester City 32%, draw 25%, Scarborough Athletic 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Scarborough Athletic), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Scarborough Athletic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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