Dartford 1-1 Taunton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.32
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.56
6+ Goals
9%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 27% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dartford EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Taunton Town EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
1.67/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.32
-1% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dartford
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Taunton Town
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Taunton Town Taunton Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Dartford Dartford İCON
13.04.2023 Dartford Dartford 0-1 HT 0-0 Taunton Town Taunton Town İCON
20.08.2022 Taunton Town Taunton Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Dartford Dartford İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dartford
1-1
AWAY Taunton Town
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Dartford vs Taunton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dartford and Taunton Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Dartford at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Dartford had 52% of the ball to Taunton Town's 48%, shots finished 7-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Taunton Town led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Dartford and 1.33 for Taunton Town.

What was the final score of Dartford vs Taunton Town?

Dartford 1-1 Taunton Town in the England - Conference on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dartford vs Taunton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dartford win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Dartford 45%, draw 26%, Taunton Town 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dartford), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dartford) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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