Worthing 0-1 Braintree Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.24
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
3.0
6+ Goals
11%
9.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.0pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worthing EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Braintree Town EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
2.21/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.56
+32% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
376 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worthing
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Braintree Town
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.09.2023 Braintree Town Braintree Town 4-0 HT 3-0 Worthing Worthing İCON
03.05.2023 Worthing Worthing 2-1 HT 1-1 Braintree Town Braintree Town İCON
15.04.2023 Worthing Worthing 2-1 HT 1-1 Braintree Town Braintree Town İCON
15.10.2022 Braintree Town Braintree Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Worthing Worthing İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Worthing
0-1
AWAY Braintree Town
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Worthing vs Braintree Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Braintree Town nicked a narrow win over Worthing 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Worthing at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Worthing had 59% of the ball to Braintree Town's 41%, shots finished 7-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Worthing and 2.00 for Braintree Town.

What was the final score of Worthing vs Braintree Town?

Worthing 0-1 Braintree Town in the England - Conference on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worthing vs Braintree Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Worthing 48%, draw 22%, Braintree Town 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Worthing) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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