Scunthorpe United 1-0 Alfreton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.06
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.82
6+ Goals
11%
16.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-8.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+4.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 26%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
2.14/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.44
+27% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
350 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scunthorpe United
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Alfreton Town
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
02.09.2023 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 2-2 HT 1-2 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İCON
23.07.2019 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 1-4 HT 1-1 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scunthorpe United
1-0
AWAY Alfreton Town
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Scunthorpe United vs Alfreton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scunthorpe United squeezed past Alfreton Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Scunthorpe United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Scunthorpe United had 55% of the ball to Alfreton Town's 45%, shots finished 6-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Scunthorpe United had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Scunthorpe United and 1.50 for Alfreton Town.

What was the final score of Scunthorpe United vs Alfreton Town?

Scunthorpe United 1-0 Alfreton Town in the England - Conference on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Scunthorpe United vs Alfreton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Scunthorpe United 43%, draw 29%, Alfreton Town 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Scunthorpe United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Scunthorpe United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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