Dorking Wanderers 3-3 Salisbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.66
2-3 Goals
36%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
8.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.2pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.0pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.3pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Salisbury EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.40/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/2.01
+36% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
414 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
POST-MATCH Dorking Wanderers vs Salisbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorking Wanderers and Salisbury shared the points in a 3-3 draw. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dorking Wanderers at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Dorking Wanderers vs Salisbury?

Dorking Wanderers 3-3 Salisbury in the England - Conference on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorking Wanderers vs Salisbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Dorking Wanderers 50%, draw 22%, Salisbury 29%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Dorking Wanderers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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